Clinical Trial Outcomes: The Key to Driving Drug Pricing and Market Access
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Insights & Articles
20.2.2024
Signs point to a greater role for indication-specific pricing in Medicare and Medicaid
Indication-specific pricing is a differential pricing method used by payers. Conceptually, it’s based on the idea that certain drugs with multiple indications have differential relative clinical benefit for each indication, or for each distinct patient subpopulation. The rationale behind indication-specific pricing is that the comparative clinical value of a drug can vary widely across indications, accordingly, so should the price if price and value are to align.
The figure below shows the difference between a uniform price – in this case, the price for indication A; green line – applied to all indications versus indication-based pricing.
Figure: Indication-specific pricing
Source: Institute for Clinical and Economic Review
The standard pricing model for pharmaceuticals constitutes a single price across all indications; in this instance, the price for indication A. It’s straightforward, as there is only one price. Besides, it’s the model stakeholders in the healthcare system have been accustomed to for decades. Moving to indication-specific pricing implies different prices for the four indications A, B, C, and D.
The most straightforward approach to indication-specific pricing by payers for a drug approved for, say, two different indications is to simply treat it as two different drugs. This would require two types of packaging, unique sets of National Drug Codes, for instance, for each of the packages, and for injectable drugs, two different Healthcare Common Procedure Coding System (HCPCS) J codes.
Indication-specific pricing is appealing because it supports value-based healthcare by aligning price and value. But it’s not an easy task for both drug manufacturers and payers to set indication-specific prices, as this requires patient stratification, and ultimately anchoring of prices to certain measures of cost-effectiveness, such as the cost per Quality-Adjusted-Life-Year (QALY).
Thus far, the use of indication-specific pricing has been limited in the U.S. to several pilot programs. Specifically, the pharmacy benefit manager (PBM) Express Scripts employs indication-specific pricing in number of different classes of cancer drugs, and the PBM CVS Caremark does this for several auto-immune diseases.
According to the PBMs, indication-specific pricing can provide a justification for higher prices for secondary indications that provide greater clinical benefits. In the context of value being assessed, this may help address payer resistance to expanding coverage to include supplemental indications. Partnering with Lyfegen may be the solution for manufacturers and payers alike, as its platform can put users on the right track towards successful implementation of indication-specific pricing arrangements. The Lyfegen platform identifies and operationalizes value-based indication-specific models in a cost-effective manner.
Indication specific pricing could alter prices for the biologic Avastin (bevacizumab), for example, when used for cervical cancer and colon cancer, respectively, depending on the willingness to pay threshold, which in turn may be based on different cost per QALY estimates.
Also, there are differences in the comparative value of the cancer drug Herceptin (trastuzumab) when used in different indications (metastatic versus adjuvant HER-2 positive breast cancer). A possible solution to this problem is for Herceptin to have two prices, one for its metastatic indication, and another for its adjuvant indication.
When Novartis won its groundbreaking CAR-T approval, Kymriah (tisagenlecleucel) in 2018, both the drugmaker and U.S. policymakers at Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) touted performance-based and indication-specific pricing as ways to help finance the $475,000 therapy. Unfortunately, the CMS backed away from a plan to implement a value-based contract for Kymriah. This decision may be revisited, as the pipeline is filled with cell and gene therapies that have large upfront costs for CMS, which must somehow be managed.
Moreover, given the many value-based experiments state Medicaid agencies are currently involved in – from value-based formularies to subscription models for the purchase of hepatitis C medications – this could spur more use of indication-specific pricing in Medicaid.
New “best price” rules in Medicaid went into effect July 1, 2022. The reason for changes in best price rules is to induce more use of value-based contract arrangements, including indication-specific pricing. Newly established protocols allow for the reporting of multiple best prices.
Specifically, to facilitate the broad adoption of these types of contracts, the novel best price rule allows drug manufacturers to report a range of best prices to the extent they may be determined by varying discounts under value-based pricing arrangements, along with the regular best price under any non-value-based pricing arrangements.
Here, value-based pricing arrangements are outcomes-based contracts which vary rebates based on patient outcomes. This can be stratified by indication. In this context, lower discounts may be offered for patients with better-than-expected outcomes in certain indications, and higher discounts for poorer outcomes and lower-than-expected clinical effectiveness of a drug in one or more indications.
About the author
Cohen is a health economist with more than 25 years of experience analyzing, publishing, and presenting on drug and diagnostic pricing and reimbursement, as well as healthcare policy reform initiatives. For 21 years, Cohen was an academic at Tufts University, the University of Pennsylvania, and the University of Amsterdam. Currently, and for the past five years, Cohen is an independent healthcare analyst and consultant on a variety of research, teaching, speaking, editing, and writing projects.
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In value-based contracts (VBCs), clinical trial outcomes are no longer just about proving safety and efficacy—they’re now critical to driving drug pricing and market access strategies. As payers and healthcare systems shift towards outcome-based models, trial data is becoming the foundation for negotiating both price and reimbursement.
Payers are increasingly prioritizing data from real-world evidence and clinical trials for value-based arrangements. The real-world data aligns closely with payers' needs to predict the cost-effectiveness of drugs and determine coverage. For Market Access Directors and Directors of Pricing, this means that clinical trial results can either accelerate or hinder the process of getting drugs to market. Strong trial outcomes not only justify premium pricing but also provide a solid basis for faster, smoother payer negotiations.
This is especially crucial in markets where budgetary pressures and stringent healthcare regulations make it difficult for new therapies to gain market access. The ability to present data-driven evidence of a drug’s real-world impact can significantly shorten time to market and improve access.
Novartis’ Zolgensma, a gene therapy for spinal muscular atrophy, used a value-based contract with installment payments and performance guarantees, adjusting reimbursement if outcomes fell short—demonstrating flexibility for high-cost therapies in outcome-based pricing models
For CFOs, using clinical trial data means greater financial predictability. By tying pricing to outcomes, companies can secure more stable revenue streams, with lower financial risk from market variability.
Are you ready to leverage clinical trial data to improve your pricing strategy and market access? Lyfegen’s Simulator helps you model pricing scenarios based on trial outcomes, ensuring a smoother path to market and better payer alignment.
Schedule a demo today to see how we can support your pricing and market access strategies: https://www.lyfegen.com/demo
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As value-based contracting (VBCs) becomes the standard, the role of clinical trials has shifted significantly. They are now essential not only for demonstrating safety and efficacy but also for enhancing financial performance. By creating trials that meet the criteria of VBCs, pharmaceutical companies can increase their financial gains, minimize pricing risks, and facilitate smoother negotiations with payers.
According to a report by Deloitte, aligning clinical trials with value-based pricing strategies can lead to improvements in revenue predictability and cost management by as much as 20% for drugs with high market access potential. This improvement stems from linking trial outcomes to real-world efficacy, which reassures payers and reduces the financial risk for manufacturers by basing pricing on demonstrated effectiveness
For CFOs and Pricing Directors, the Financial Impact is Clear
For CFOs and Directors of Pricing, the financial implications of optimized trials in a VBC framework are significant. When trial designs focus on outcomes that matter most to payers—like reductions in hospitalization or improved quality of life—pricing becomes more flexible, and revenue can be projected more accurately. McKinsey & Company points out that outcome-based models also provide a safeguard against pricing volatility, allowing pharmaceutical companies to stabilize revenue by tying payments to real-world performance metrics.
Efficiency Gains through Outcome-Focused Trial Design
Beyond revenue predictability, operational efficiencies are another key benefit. A focus on outcome-based trials reduces the time and resources needed to negotiate with payers, as the trial data itself becomes a compelling point in payer discussions. For Market Access Directors, outcome-driven trial designs support quicker market entry and stronger, data-backed negotiations that build payer confidence.
Lyfegen’s Platform: Streamlining Trial Optimization for Value-Based Contracts
Optimizing clinical trials for VBC is complex, but Lyfegen’s all in one platform simplifies this process. By enabling real-time pricing simulations based on clinical outcomes or financial goals, Lyfegen helps pharmaceutical companies design financially viable reimbursement contracts and align them with value-based pricing. This empowers pricing teams to model financial outcomes, enhancing both operational efficiency and contract efficiency.
Interested in learning how outcome-focused trials can support your pricing and financial goals? Lyfegen’s Simulator offers the tools you need to optimize clinical trials for success in a VBCs framework.
Schedule a demo today to explore how we can streamline your pricing and contract strategies: https://www.lyfegen.com/demo